“Thurmond Rule” More Myth than Reality

By Curt Levey Posted in Comments (15) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Senator Specter, now the ranking member of the Judiciary Committee, isn’t buying Chairman Leahy’s avowed plan to invoke the so-called “Thurmond Rule” on judicial nominees come mid-2008. Leahy could use the rule to bring confirmations to a virtual halt in the final six months of the Bush presidency. Specter noted in a statement yesterday that “the historical record suggests that this rule is more myth than reality” and cited the confirmation of Stephen Breyer to the Second Circuit as just one example. Specter went on to say

The fact of the matter is that the Senate has regularly confirmed judges in presidential election years. In the election year of 1980, when it is asserted Senator Thurmond inaugurated the so-called rule, the Senate confirmed ten Circuit Court nominees and 53 District Court nominees.
. . .
Justice Breyer was then Senator Kennedy's Chief Counsel. He was nominated by President Carter on November 13, 1980, after Carter had lost the election to Ronald Reagan. The Senate, which was also about to switch party control, held a swift confirmation hearing and voted to confirm Breyer on December 9, 1980.
. . .
In 2000, President Clinton's last year in office, the Senate confirmed eight Circuit Court nominees and 31 District Court nominees. Furthermore, many of these presidential election year confirmations occurred late in the year. Since 1980, 110 judges were confirmed after July 1st of a presidential election year, 17 of those were confirmed to Circuit Courts. In the same period, 63 judges were confirmed after September 1st of presidential elections years, twelve of those to Circuit Courts.

The full text of Specter’s statement follows below the fold.

Mr. SPECTER: Madam President, I seek recognition today, to discuss one of this body's most important responsibilities; namely, our responsibility to provide advice and consent on the President's judicial nominations.

At the outset, I would like to take a few moments to remind my colleagues of the Judiciary Committee's success during the last Congress in moving the President's judicial nominees through the confirmation process in a timely manner.

During the last Congress, the Senate confirmed 54 Article III judges, including the Chief Justice of the United States, an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court, 16 Court of Appeals judges, 35 District Court judges, and one Court of International Trade judge. The Senate could have, and I believe should have, confirmed 13 more District Court nominees before the conclusion of the last Congress. All of these qualified men and women were favorably reported by the Judiciary Committee without a single dissenting vote. Many of them are nominated to vacancies that have been deemed judicial emergencies. I hope we can promptly move to confirm all of these men and women in the new Congress. Failure to do so will continue to delay justice in courts from Pennsylvania to California. I have asked my friend and new Judiciary Committee Chairman Senator Leahy to place these nominees on our Committee's very first executive business meeting. I am happy to report that he has agreed to do so.

I remind my colleagues that at the beginning of the last Congress judicial confirmations, particularly to the Circuit Courts, were at a virtual standstill with many nominees subject to filibusters. Much of the debate in this chamber during the first months of the 109th Congress involved whether or not to invoke the so-called "Constitutional Option," whereby the rules of the Senate would be altered to allow for a vote on Circuit Court nominees. Thankfully, the Senate managed to avert a major showdown over this debate and instead confirmed highly qualified nominees to the Courts of Appeals, several of whom had been pending for many years. These included Priscilla Owen (pending since 2001); Janice Rogers Brown (pending since 2003); Bill Pryor (pending since 2003); and Brett Kavanaugh (pending since 2003).

So in the last Congress we managed to move to a vote on many long languishing nominees. We also moved expeditiously on new.nominations. It was my practice as Chairman to schedule a prompt hearing on every judicial nomination as soon as all necessary materials were received and the nominee was prepared to move forward. Once given a hearing, every nominee was placed promptly on the Committee's agenda for consideration. I believe our practice, while avoiding unnecessary delay, also ensured that each nomination was thoroughly vetted so that the Senate had the information it needed to come to a vote.

In short, the Judiciary Committee and the Senate, by following regular order, carried out our Constitutional responsibilities. As a result, the federal court vacancy rate fell to as low as 4.8% during my tenure as Chairman. This is among the lowest vacancy rates in the last 20 years. Unfortunately, in part because of our failure to confirm the 13 district court nominees late in the last Congress, the vacancy rates have increased during the fall and winter.

I cite this recent history and these statistics as examples of what can be done in this body when we work hard and put fairness ahead of partisanship. I committed myself to this principle as Chairman of the Judiciary Committee and I am hopeful we can continue to work in this vein during the 110th Congress under the Chairmanship of Senator Leahy. Working together, I believe we can avoid some of the acrimony that has poisoned the nominations process in recent years.

In fact, I want to give Senator Leahy a good bit of credit. He worked cooperatively with us to ensure that nominees were moved during the 109th Congress. There were times when our friends across the aisle could stymie our efforts to process nominees, but Senator Leahy worked with me to enable the Senate to carry out its constitutional responsibilities.

That is why I am troubled by recent suggestions that it is appropriate to dramatically slow the confirmation process during the last two years of a president's term. Our Constitutional duties remain, despite the fact that we are now beginning a Presidential election cycle. Past Congresses have been very productive on judicial nominations during Presidential elections cycles and we should be as well.

The record shows that the Senate has confirmed numerous nominees during the last two years of every modern president's term in office. For example, in the last two years of the Carter Administration, the Senate confirmed 44 Circuit Court nominees and 154 District Court nominees.

During the last two years of the Reagan Administration, the Senate confirmed 17 Circuit Court nominees and 66 District Court nominees.

During the last two years of the George H.W. Bush Administration, the Senate confirmed 20 Circuit Court nominees and 100 District Court nominees.

During the last two years of the Clinton Administration, the Senate confirmed 15 Circuit Court nominees and 57 District Court nominees.

In many of these cases the Senate was controlled, sometimes by a substantial margin, by a different party than that which controlled the White House. I see no reason why this Senate should not be at least as productive as the Republican controlled Senate which confirmed 15 Circuit Court nominees during President Clinton's final two years in office.

I would also like to address what has been called the "Thurmond Rule." Some have suggested that this so-called rule holds that the Senate should dramatically curtail confirmations after the spring of a presidential election year. Review of the historical record suggests that this rule is more myth than reality.

It does not appear that Senator Thurmond, for whom the purported rule is named, ever publicly asserted that nominations should be delayed due to an impending presidential election. The only comment that could be so construed was made after the Committee approved ten nominees at a September 17, 1980 markup. He stated, "[L]et me make the point [that] the Minority has tried to be more than fair in considering all of the nominees that have appeared before this Committee. I would remind [the Committee] it is just about six weeks before the election, and I want to say that for a year and a half before the last election, there was no action taken on judges when we had a Republican President." However, because Senator Thurmond used this as a point of contrast, the natural implication seems to be that he considered blocking nominations in the lead up to an election unfair.

The fact of the matter is that the Senate has regularly confirmed judges in presidential election years. In the election year of 1980, when it is asserted Senator Thurmond inaugurated the so-called rule, the Senate confirmed ten Circuit Court nominees and 53 District Court nominees. Several of the Circuit Court nominations were high profile nominees with well-known credentials. Many of these nominees were confirmed relatively late in the year.

Between June 1 and September 1, 1980, the Senate confirmed four Circuit Court nominees and 15 District Court nominees, including then-ACLU General Counsel Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who was confirmed June 18, 1980.

After September 1, 1980, the Senate confirmed two more Circuit Court nominees and eleven District Court nominees. The first Circuit Court nominee, Stephen Reinhardt of the Ninth Circuit, who is now thought to be one of nation's most liberal jurists, was confirmed on September 11, 1980.

More remarkable is the second Circuit Court nominee, that of Stephen Breyer to the First Circuit. Justice Breyer was then Senator Kennedy's Chief Counsel. He was nominated by President Carter on November 13, 1980, after Carter had lost the election to Ronald Reagan. The Senate, which was also about to switch party control, held a swift confirmation hearing and voted to confirm Breyer on December 9, 1980.

The presidential election year of 1980 was not an aberration, the pattern continued in subsequent election years. In 1988, President Reagan's last year in office, the Senate confirmed seven Circuit Court nominees and 33 District Court nominees. In 1992, President George H.W. Bush's last year in office, the Senate confirmed eleven Circuit Court nominees and 53 District Court nominees. In 2000, President Clinton's last year in office, the Senate confirmed eight Circuit Court nominees and 31 District Court nominees.

Furthermore, many of these presidential election year confirmations occurred late in the year. Since 1980, 110 judges were confirmed after July 1st of a presidential election year, 17 of those were confirmed to Circuit Courts. In the same period, 63 judges were confirmed after September 1st of presidential elections years, twelve of those to Circuit Courts. In short, there does not appear to be any historical basis for the so-called "Thurmond Rule." The Senate has confirmed numerous nominees during presidential election years, and I expect that with Senator Leahy and I working together, we will do so again next year.

In fact, I think it's time to move beyond some of the more acrimonious judicial battles of the past. I think the country is served best when the Senate fulfills its constitutional duty and votes on the President's nominees.

I have called on the White House to consult with Senator Leahy and Leader Reid during the nomination process. I have also worked to ensure that judicial nominees are afforded prompt consideration and fair treatment by the Judiciary Committee. I plan to continue to do that as the Ranking Member and am confident that under Senator Leahy's leadership, our Committee will fairly and expeditiously consider judicial nominees.

Aside from the responsibility the Senate has to vote up or down on the President's nominees, we cannot forget that these people, who have agreed to undertake important government service, have family considerations and professional lives that are often adversely impacted when their careers are out on hold because of a pending nomination. We should never forget that these nominees, whether a Member decides ultimately to support them or not, are deserving of our thanks for their willingness to undergo this process and to offer their services to the American people. They deserve fair treatment by this body.

I trust that during the 110th Congress the Senate will work productively to ensure that nominees are treated fairly and that judicial vacancies are filled as soon as possible. I look forward to working with the White House and with Chairman Leahy to that end.

I yield the floor.

Good for Arlen! by Classic

Now let's see if/how the Dems handle the truth!

Reply To ThisUser Info#1 — Fri, 2007-01-05 21:05

Leahy doesn't care about the reality of the "Thurmond Rule". Instead, he wants to preserve its myth in order to showcase procedural justifications for what he plans to do later: halt all Bush judicial confirmations. After having wept bitter tears over the failure of the Republicans from 1998 to 2000 to confirm 61 Clinton nominees, he doesn't want to be seen doing unjustifiably the same thing to Bush nominees during the last two years of Bush's second administration. Rather, he wants to appear to be just "following the rules," as if he is an innocent bystander in the situation he is about to create.

Reply To ThisUser Info#2 — Fri, 2007-01-05 21:43

Courtesy of How Appealing,

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=MzMyOTQ3NGU1ZjYzZWYzOGMwY2ExODI3Zjd...

The whole article is interesting in discussing Senate reaction to Miers, but there is a little, almost unrelated nugget at the end. The article implies that Republican, not Democrat opposition, killed Boyle's nominaiton:

"Lost in much of the talk on Capitol Hill, however, is the blame that Senate Republicans deserve for the situation. Some of the president’s nominees did not make it through the Senate because of Republican opposition, not Democratic obstruction or White House passivity. And now, in a few cases at least, there is regret. “What the hell happened?” asks one Republican. “How is it that we didn’t move [Fourth Circuit nominee] Terry Boyle in four years of Republican control of the U.S. Senate?”"

Reply To ThisUser Info#3 — Fri, 2007-01-05 23:18
Bobo by AC1

“What the hell happened?”

Everyone at this site has been asking that for the last 2 years. Why did they just now figure out that they wasted our 55 seat majority?

Reply To ThisUser Info#4 — Sat, 2007-01-06 09:19
Unbelievable by Classic

Yet, not so. I guess we shouldn't expect anything different form the Dems. Like hiding the pea in a shell game. Or, "Don't pay any attention to that man who can't vote!"

[linked at keloland]

01/05/2007
Johnson Gets Subcommittee Chair

Although he's still in critical condition after brain surgery, US Senator Tim Johnson has been named chairman of the Appropriations Subcommittee on Military Construction and Veterans Affairs.

As head of the subcommittee, Johnson would be in a position to direct dollars to Ellsworth Air Force Base in Rapid City and to the state National Guard.

The Democratic senator remains in intensive care after suffering a brain hemorrhage December 13th.

He missed Thursday's opening day of the US Senate and is expected to have a lengthy recovery period of several months.

Reply To ThisUser Info#5 — Sat, 2007-01-06 10:33
Dems won and we will suffer by Borksrevenge

Some of you posters here have good hearts and a nose for facts but are living in an alternate reality. The Demcorats don't care about anything regarding nominations other than blocking whom they wish to block. Courtesy, history, facts, tradition are all out the window and have been for a long time.

All we need to do is look at what they did in 2000-2002 before they lost the 2002 midterm. They blocked whomever they felt like blocking. There are a number of options: 1) withdraw the nominees who are dead and renominate confirmable candidates 2)cut deals involving confirmations in exchange for legislation not being blocked or confirming some democratic picks in exchange for our picks 3)continue to send up the judges you want and hope we win the senate and WH in 2008.

Reply To ThisUser Info#6 — Sat, 2007-01-06 14:14

Specter will lie down like a dog for Leahy btwn June & December 2008. See June-December 2006.

Reply To ThisUser Info#7 — Sat, 2007-01-06 16:22

Nice article by York, and yes, let's let Harriet live quietly & quickly.

However, if he & others wonder "what the hell happened" they need to start hangin' 'round here!

Boyle (and Roberts & Mahoney) should've been confirmed in '92 a la Breyer in '80, but now at nearly 60 he was not seen as a superstar on the level of JRB, Pryor, & Owen, and then he was secretly sacrificed for Kavanaugh. QED.

I completely understand Andrew's anger & frustration on this issue, but Boyle, Haynes, & Myers were just never going to even receive floor votes, let alone confirmations. It's wrong, but it's reality, and keeping them twisting in the wind has done great damage to the Judiciary & the nation, to say nothing of the GOP.

Even with the confirmations of Roberts, Alito, & the Big Four, this WH has been mediocre at best on judges, although they've had lotsa 'help' from Senate repubs.

Reply To ThisUser Info#8 — Sat, 2007-01-06 16:34
Bill M. by Classic

Sigh, You're probably right re Specter.

I can regrettably think of numerous examples of forked town Specter--Federalist Society (promises made to), promise to vote nominations out of committee in December (well, yes, but not in time for a vote), and so on--I'm sure the long timers here could provide chapter and verse over the past two years.

Reply To ThisUser Info#9 — Sat, 2007-01-06 17:16

If this were an open thread, I'd provide the following that is from Drudge.

The Sunday Times - World

The Sunday Times January 07, 2007

Revealed: Israel plans nuclear strike on Iran
Uzi Mahnaimi, New York and Sarah Baxter, Washington

ISRAEL has drawn up secret plans to destroy Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities with tactical nuclear weapons.
Two Israeli air force squadrons are training to blow up an Iranian facility using low-yield nuclear “bunker-busters”, according to several Israeli military sources.

The attack would be the first with nuclear weapons since 1945, when the United States dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The Israeli weapons would each have a force equivalent to one-fifteenth of the Hiroshima bomb.

Under the plans, conventional laser-guided bombs would open “tunnels” into the targets. “Mini-nukes” would then immediately be fired into a plant at Natanz, exploding deep underground to reduce the risk of radioactive fallout.

“As soon as the green light is given, it will be one mission, one strike and the Iranian nuclear project will be demolished,” said one of the sources.

The plans, disclosed to The Sunday Times last week, have been prompted in part by the Israeli intelligence service Mossad’s assessment that Iran is on the verge of producing enough enriched uranium to make nuclear weapons within two years.

Israeli military commanders believe conventional strikes may no longer be enough to annihilate increasingly well-defended enrichment facilities. Several have been built beneath at least 70ft of concrete and rock. However, the nuclear-tipped bunker-busters would be used only if a conventional attack was ruled out and if the United States declined to intervene, senior sources said.

Israeli and American officials have met several times to consider military action. Military analysts said the disclosure of the plans could be intended to put pressure on Tehran to halt enrichment, cajole America into action or soften up world opinion in advance of an Israeli attack.

Some analysts warned that Iranian retaliation for such a strike could range from disruption of oil supplies to the West to terrorist attacks against Jewish targets around the world.

Israel has identified three prime targets south of Tehran which are believed to be involved in Iran’s nuclear programme:

Natanz, where thousands of centrifuges are being installed for uranium enrichment

A uranium conversion facility near Isfahan where, according to a statement by an Iranian vice-president last week, 250 tons of gas for the enrichment process have been stored in tunnels

A heavy water reactor at Arak, which may in future produce enough plutonium for a bomb
Israeli officials believe that destroying all three sites would delay Iran’s nuclear programme indefinitely and prevent them from having to live in fear of a “second Holocaust”.

The Israeli government has warned repeatedly that it will never allow nuclear weapons to be made in Iran, whose president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has declared that “Israel must be wiped off the map”.

Reply To ThisUser Info#10 — Sat, 2007-01-06 22:45

One of Maura Corrigan's Republican colleagues on the Michigan Supreme Court, Elizabeth Weaver, has blasted Corrigan and her other three Republican peers on the state's highest court for undue secrecy and poor administration:

http://www.record-eagle.com/2007/jan/06weaver.htm

""The majority of four's willingness to suppress or attempt to suppress dissension shows that no member of the majority of four is fit to lead as Chief Justice of the Michigan Supreme Court,” Weaver said."

Reply To ThisUser Info#11 — Sun, 2007-01-07 08:34

http://www.freep.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070107/OPINION01/70107...

"That dissent was later released and in it Weaver declared it was "inappropriate" for Taylor, Corrigan and Markman to sit in judgment of Fieger.

"It cannot be disputed," she wrote, "that the decision-making process of the Michigan Supreme Court is seriously flawed when a justice who is, or appears to be, biased or prejudiced against a party participates in a case. An unbiased judge is essential to the due process guarantee."

The implication is that certain justices are out to get Fieger and will look for ways to reverse every verdict he wins."

Reply To ThisUser Info#12 — Sun, 2007-01-07 16:05
Corrigan by BillM

Sounds like a very ugly situ in MI. Whatever the truth, it likely spells the end of Corrigan's chances for a seat on the 6th or SCOTUS.

Reply To ThisUser Info#13 — Sun, 2007-01-07 17:26

Here's another great example, Corrigan should have been put onto the 6th when we had the majority. Because of Rep cowardice, she languished, and the libs are now making sure it never happens.

We are reduced to making deals, and that being the case, let's get moving. First order of business, get the nominees, including COA, approved for the 6th. Then get the 9th COA taken care of - could have had Levi and Smith, but because we hesitated, someone like Volokh, will probably take Levi's place. Then cut a deal for all the seats on the 4th, probably giving two to the bad guys. No use in crying over past incompetence, we need to suck it up and move on.

Reply To ThisUser Info#14 — Mon, 2007-01-08 10:41

This makes complete sense - if any of us lived in Israel, would we tolerate a nuclear Iran? And who is sorry that in the early 80s Israel prevented Iraq from going nuclear? Everyone hates them already, so there's nothing to lose. Bombs away.

Reply To ThisUser Info#15 — Mon, 2007-01-08 10:44


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